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Monday, October 30, 2006

Dissecting the BCS

The BCS system is killing John Blum. The current way NCAA Football determines their rankings is making life hard for this tried and true War Eagle. Most of you don’t know John. But he’s been a loyal reader of this blog (and probably a few more on the web) and last week’s rankings put his math skills to the test.

Below are John’s words, I’m posting them here for you to see because, A. I am not smart enough to regurgitate or understand most of the math he did, and B. he does bring up some interesting if not disturbing issues.

Is he a little perturbed about the current way of settling things? Ahh, yes. And so much so that he took it upon himself to go Good Will Hunting on the calculations that determine the BCS rankings.

I took some editing liberties because, well, John got a little heated by this whole thing. But I can’t blame him for that.

The BCS is calculated wrong this week…it’s Louisville up a spot just barely past Texas…haven’t heard it anywhere else…my own investigative math… No big deal? Well…each team gets that ranking for one week and they become that ranking for one week. …it probably doesn’t matter at the ranking position where the error occurs but what it if happened higher up? The promos the public and thus human poll voters would be hearing for an entire week would be wrong…. They would say “ #4 team playing #18 team ” INSTEAD of “ #3 team playing #18 team.” Those numbers get in peoples heads! …and then when the human voters sit down on Sunday to place their new votes, many of them will assuredly be reviewing the previous weeks polls (including the math polls) while rectifying/justifying their new ballot…they will be rectifying/justifying with the WRONG overall BCS rankings and wrong math rankings unless they pulled an updated math poll (updated after Sunday nights game) from each individual math poll’s website.

I am not here to say John is right, nor am I here to say he is wrong. But I think John typifies the passion and love for NCAA Football. He went back and recalculated rankings and says he found an error that allowed a team to have a slightly higher ranking than they should.

John, I applaud you and your desire to keep everything on the up an up. Certainly if there is an error, it is not intentional and I know NCAA Football appreciates you double checking their math.

So just keep John in mind when reviewing this week's BCS standings. He'll let us know if there's a mix up. Wouldn’t it be so much easier, on John and football fans as a whole, if we just settled things on the field?

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

…yes, the BCS is wrong again… It’s Louisville again…Rutgers over UConn on Sunday night diminished Louisville’s math and they slide two spots to number 7….

…I guess when the BCS bastardized the system again in favor of FOX announcing the results on Sunday’s pro football wrap, they assumed the lone Sunday game would not affect the standings…they were WRONG! The standings are through ALL games…NOT minus one!

…to be specific…Louisville fell one spot in Billingsley from 11th to 12th and one spot in Wolfe from 7th to 8th which changed their mathematical average from .680 to .660 which then changed their overall BCS average from .7621 to .7553 which drops them 2 places to 7th. (Anderson & Hester once again are not updating)

…So now Instead of #3 WVU at #7 Louisville….it’s gonna be #3 at #5 ….No Big Deal? Baloney…..it’s simple math that even you can understand David (just kidding)… It both IMPROVES the quality of a win and DIMINISHES the effect of a loss to the human voters.

Money Money Money Money Money Money

1:39 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Louyville lost to RUTGERS(9 0)
Texas lost to KANSAS STATE (NR)
Auburn lost to GEORGIA (NR)
California lost to ARIZONA (NR)
USC beat OREGON (#20)
WISCONSON is 10 1
NOTRE DAME is 9 1 (only loss to #2)

Please tell me how Louyville is #3
Texas is #4, Auburn is #5 and Florida is #6 with 1 loss and a narrow miss to NR SC can be ranked above USC and NOTRE DAME ??!!

1:02 PM  

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